Sports wagering is often very profitable if anyone know the strategies the particular “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money bettors use can be knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a perfect example. I analyzed the Rest of the world California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Florida had often the edge in the activity. However , I also noticed that there were a whole lot of random and unstable factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Las vegas vs . Louisville
This sport offers all the signs of being one of the ideal games associated with the year, using both teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both equally together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, with Western Virginia coming backside from getting down major in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning within overtime, however,.
So what’s the adventure seem like this year?
In the event that this game were getting played from the simple field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented rotate. That they haven’t lost considering April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last nine games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 STREET games.
These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the included reward is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. ufabet168.bet/ufabet can not seem like quite a bit, but in a close up match-up such as this, that more point might make the change between a good push and even a loss.
But you may be wondering what regarding Louisville?
Louisville’s stats are really almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville within the point spread. In his or her previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home activities.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in your own home since 12 17, the year 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points per game at home, while hitting only quitting 15. six points per game in home. In case anyone don’t do the mathmatical, that means due to the fact their own last home loss they already have averaged beating their opposing team by way of about 34 details per game.
In addition remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 things per online game at home considering 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s just how…
Almost all of those stats were established during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They also have acquired recent games through which they are yet to only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. These games weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. They will were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The end result is the fact that this is still some sort of close game to phone. Nonetheless the things i look to get is West Virginia’s security to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off this kind of game and not necessarily wager at all. There usually are better games this end of the week with more clear-cut rewards.
The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for a new TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big they may possibly still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this particular video game, people severe about wagering saved money many people can put to better employ on future games.